After collecting data for a couple of weeks, and throwing out the worst of the bad data days (why does Selenium in Firefox crash out so often? to be determined...), I now have this:
The blue line is my commute tolerance (currently at 40 minutes).
The actual numbers (e.g., Google Maps estimates) feel low. I realize that time spent sitting in traffic seems longer than it actually is, but I would have guessed +5 minutes at peak times.
In the past I've tried to keep track of my actual commute times, but lost patience after taking a few samples. Maybe it's now time to revive that practice and do some "reality vs. Google maps estimates" validation.
Part 1
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